5.6.06

四日

當各國熱身賽大局已定,是時候踢走冒牌球迷孔少林,認真研究哪一隊有機會攞世界盃。

  孔少林未卜先知,預先披露賽果,說得似層層。最特別是從賭波角度分析巴西必敗。有見及此,我要為我偶像朗拿甸奴平反。

  孔說,賭波集團會甘之如飴,厚酬打賞,務求令巴西靈魂朗拿甸奴就住就住,下屆三十歲才出真功夫。這樣講法,是假設朗拿甸奴等錢使,甘願為支票出賣黃金右腳。但以朗拿甸奴商業價值超越碧咸,我懷疑要用幾多錢才可以打動細哨的芳心。

  再者,巴西還有另外十個人在場,依照孔的邏輯,朗拿度今年已經三十,亦即賭波集團向細哨砌詞的奪標年華。換言之,如果朗拿度八年前打假波,今年勢必博盡,為求在last一年攞番個美好回憶。如果朗拿度肯多走幾步(假設他走得郁),威力未必比朗拿甸奴細小許多。

  還有,如果連孔少林都想到有賭波集團滲透,應該全世界都知;加上1998年決賽眾矢之的,如果巴西隊有人再打假波(假設1998年的確是假波),簡直是自毀前程。要出一個買得起細哨一世的價錢,賭波集團的盤口要相當歸邊才可。

  最後,全世界球員開始高薪養廉,人工加贊助,打一年波已經下半世無憂。世界盃四年一次,如此令人夢寐以求,純粹用錢,無可能可以疏通。

  所以,基於理性分析,我又一次拆冒牌球迷孔少林招牌。巴西非但不會必敗,還必定殺入決賽;而對手,將是雲巴士頓帶領的荷蘭。  

(東主有事,本欄關門四天,如無意外,12號繼續。)

15 comments:

Anonymous said...

說到世界杯, 人人都是專家; 世界杯之魅力就是在此, 每人皆可以成為專家。

假設外電報導確實無訛, 觀乎各種籽隊皆受到或多或少的困擾: 意大利隊的賭波醜聞、巴西隊的操守、荷蘭隊及英國隊的傷兵、葡萄牙隊的軍心散煥、西班牙隊的往績、德國隊及美國隊成了恐襲目標 . . .

看來只有阿根廷隊可獨善其身, 一支獨秀咧!

Anonymous said...

mr fong, are u getting married =P

Anonymous said...

喂! 冒牌阿叔, 你唔記得左法國隊咩?

係囉! 係囉! 法國隊已經係「夕陽老兵團」, 不提也罷 . . .

playingmoon said...

雲妮都未追到,又怎會結婚呢?

Anonymous said...

It's pleased to notice this kind of rational debate. It's just too rare in this society nowadays.

Keep it up!

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江湖客 said...

真高興可以在這裡遇上 hh 君和劉基利兄兩位前輩, 讓江湖客在此可向兩位多多學習, 如何以客觀的角度分析時人、時事, 江湖客在此先行謝過。

現有下列四項的回應, 望諸位賜教:

(一) hh 君說得好: “2388 is always the BOC(HK) from the very 1st day of IPO, with main focus in HK market.” 既然當天公眾已很清楚, 2388 以香港市場為目標, 那更凸顯「藍綠行」引入 2388 為策略性伙伴的理據更站不住腳, 因為「藍綠行」在香港已有不錯的市場佔有率, 2388 只會重復「藍綠行」既有的業務範籌。 那 . . . 王先生在新聞發佈的一句 “2388 will help us penetrate the PRC market” 豈不更是飴笑大方嗎?

(二) 也許「此一時彼一時」一類的說話, 只適合那些普羅大眾, 或如「江湖客」這種無牽無掛的人作馬後炮時用的。 若銀行大班也用「此一時彼一時」作下檯楷, 只會顯示其人缺乏具策略的長遠目光而已。

(三) 「. . . 最少在賬面上、在人脈關係上我看不到藍綠行有可損失 . . .」在賬面上沒有損失, 只可說是藍綠行時來運到,因為這從來不是「藍綠行」與 2388 結伴的企圖 (至少王先生在公開場合沒有表示過), 卻有點「亂石投林」式的冒進, 發生在「藍綠行」的身上,嗚呼!

(四)「江湖客兄你對當年藍綠行入股中銀所帶來的效益又所知幾多」 嗯, 說真的,「效益」所知的就不多,「損失」不少就是了。 好像那些年來「藍綠行」投放在開發中國市場的資源便不少了, 但成果怎樣, 大家有目共睹, 絕對不會多於在沒有與 2388 結伴前。 此外, 「藍綠行」當年也曾派駐一位重量級行政人員在國內試圖作出突破, 多年下來也是途勞無功, 浪費了人才。 (後來這位重量級行政人員也辭去了「藍綠行」, 改投了另一間中資背景的銀行當副總經理了,「藍綠行」可謂「陪了夫人又折兵」。

Anonymous said...

其實打假波唔駛收買最好的球員,巴西一二條友肯收水放水都做到假波,再者巴西足協咁腐敗,成隊波都好似賣左俾nike咁,有咩無機會發生呀!

Anonymous said...

Another case of rational discussion.

*****************

People talk about 官商勾結 all the time without really thinking through what they mean by 官商勾結. They have a tendency to confuse "ethical" issues with "legal" issues.

Consider these three cases, cited above by a blogger:

-紅灣半島事件
-鍾麗國事律
-特首哥哥退休後亦在大地主公司工作

It is perfectly fine if the blogger believes those cases are "unethical". We are all entitled to our own opinions. At the same time, we must not forget that ethical judgement is very personal. One person's "ethical" behavior might be viewed as "unethical" by others.

However, Hong Kong is a place that is governed by the rule of law. So the key question about the above three cases should be: Are these acts "illegal" ?

Obviously, according to the current law, these are legal acts. (If not, Martin Li and the Big Four, not to mention Long Hair, would have filed lawsuits already.)

So, should ICAC step in and file charges in the above cases? Should we fault ICAC because they do not take action in the above three cases?

Don't forget, ICAC is not in the "ethical" business. Rather, they are in the legal, law-enforcement business.

If the blogger really believes those three acts should be made illegal, he should send his appeal to the Legco. For the Legco members are the ones who have to power to set down a law out-lawing the above acts.

Without a relevant law to back its actions, ICAC has no power to make any move. Hence, your criticism of the ICAC--at least in the three cases you cite above--is misplaced. You should put your blame, if any, on the Legco, not the ICAC.

Anonymous said...

信報終於有長毛寫波經,
認為長毛是最有分析能力波經寫手。

Anonymous said...

認同bono您的分析,官商勾結是中國人詞彙,definition 並不清楚,不知是指法律,還是指道德,....

筆者只不過想指出,香港較台灣好,其實只是「比較」而已。

經濟學最喜歡用 by definition 去分析問題,所以經濟學永遠分析吾,香港的地產有沒有monopoly 的問題。因為 definition 太嚴謹,.....故筆者也只能說香港存在很多官商勾結,貪污並不普遍....

Anonymous said...

補白:
扒王真是扒王,只花一萬幾千,就可上幾日港聞版,成功為公司、扒王自己、妻女製造見報機會,配服、配服!

Anonymous said...

補白再補白

配服實為佩服,太耐冇寫中文了....

Anonymous said...

"信報終於有長毛寫波經,
認為長毛是最有分析能力波經寫手"

長毛是最有分析能力波經寫手!? 唔係呀, 第一場都已經錯到七彩!!!

Anonymous said...

再補白:

建議巴士阿叔可以找董生、董太收留....


或找羅范..再培訓...

Anonymous said...

巴士大叔的"壓力", 好像貞子式感染傳播...

扒王太太, 有壓力...有壓力...結果....

扒王太太有壓力,有壓力, 於是扒王亦有壓力...有壓力...

結果巴士大叔要轉工....

其實大叔的生活原本應很平淡,只是鋪天蓋地的追捧報道...

才營造了壓力...

換了大叔不是出了名, 扒王太太對於他亦不會感冒而有壓力....有壓力...

周刊報道大叔去玩女人...讓人想起幾年前的陳健康....

Anonymous said...

Maybe I am not rational, I don't want Brazil to win the World Cup again. Otherwise, it would be boring. And Italy played well among all so far. Maybe scandal does help to boost the spirit.